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J2 League · Regular Season - 12
Albirex Niigata
2 - 1Full time
Sagan Tosu
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.67
74%
Confidence · Good
Albirex NiigataDrawSagan Tosu
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
Yes
50%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
2/2
24%
Double chance
1X
74%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Albirex Niigata or draw.
  • Recent form: Albirex Niigata WDWDL, Sagan Tosu LLLWW (oldest to newest).
  • Albirex Niigata score 1.4 a game this season; Sagan Tosu score 1.0.

Match preview

Albirex Niigata host Sagan Tosu in the J2 League (Regular Season - 12) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

This season Albirex Niigata score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals a game; Sagan Tosu score 1.0 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Albirex Niigata won 2, Sagan Tosu won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 74% confidence, priced at 1.67.

Quick answers

Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?

Our model gives Albirex Niigata 37%, the draw 37% and Sagan Tosu 26%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (74% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 50% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 56% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 Sagan Tosu. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 74% confidence at odds of 1.67.

When is Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 10:00 UTC at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 11'S. Nagasawa
  2. M. MoraesAssist: M. Sekiguchi24'
  3. 46'S. Nagasawa ⇄ Y. Imazu
  4. 46'R. Hyon ⇄ R. Shiohama
  5. M. Sekiguchi51'
  6. 63'T. Takahashi ⇄ H. Goto
  7. 63'M. Yoshida ⇄ K. Yoshino
  8. M. Moraes ⇄ K. Kuwayama71'
  9. 75'K. Yamauchi ⇄ Park Ho-Min
  10. T. Osawa ⇄ K. Kasai77'
  11. Y. Wakatsuki ⇄ C. Konagaya77'
  12. K. KuwayamaAssist: E. Shirai80'
  13. 83'H. GotoAssist: K. Abe
  14. K. Shimabuku ⇄ M. Sato89'
  15. M. Sekiguchi ⇄ M. Fitzgerald89'