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Stars League · Regular Season - 7
Al-Gharafa
2 - 2Full time
Al Ahli Doha
Al Gharafa Stadium

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.40
68%
Confidence · Good
Al-GharafaDrawAl Ahli Doha
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
Yes
65%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
1/1
26%
Double chance
1X
68%
Avg goals
3.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Al-Gharafa or draw.
  • Recent form: Al-Gharafa LLDLD, Al Ahli Doha DWLWL (oldest to newest).
  • Al-Gharafa score 1.0 a game this season; Al Ahli Doha score 1.7.

Match preview

Al-Gharafa host Al Ahli Doha in the Stars League (Regular Season - 7) on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Al Gharafa Stadium .

This season Al-Gharafa score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals a game; Al Ahli Doha score 1.7 and concede 2.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Al-Gharafa won 3, Al Ahli Doha won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 68% confidence, priced at 1.40.

Quick answers

Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha?

Our model gives Al-Gharafa 39%, the draw 29% and Al Ahli Doha 32%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (68% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Al-Gharafa 1 - 1 Al Ahli Doha. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 68% confidence at odds of 1.40.

When is Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha?

Kick-off is Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Al Gharafa Stadium . The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Seydou SanoAssist: Ismaël Bennacer13'
  2. Amro Surag22'
  3. Yacine BrahimiAssist: Adam Ounas36'
  4. 52'Erik ExpósitoAssist: Naïm Sliti
  5. 58'Ismaeel Mohammad ⇄ Younis Hussein Abdelrahman
  6. Hassan Aladin ⇄ Florinel Coman59'
  7. Ismaël Bennacer ⇄ Hyun-Soo Jang65'
  8. 78'Ghanem Al-Minhali ⇄ Luiz Junior
  9. Adam Ounas ⇄ Abdulrahman Al-Rashidi78'
  10. 87'Robin Tihi ⇄ Zinedine Sassi
  11. 87'Ayoub Amraoui ⇄ Suhaib Gannan
  12. 87'Benjamin Bourigeaud ⇄ Hamad Mansour
  13. 90+3'Naïm SlitiAssist: Luiz Junior

Match stats

Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
Possession
37%63%
Expected goals (xG)
1.583.04
Shots
1625
Shots on target
410
Corners
613
Fouls
129
Yellow cards
10
Red cards
00
Saves
72
Passes
275460