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AFC Champions League Elite · League Phase - 3
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Gharafa
Alinma Stadium

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
95%
Confidence · High
Al-Ahli JeddahDrawAl-Gharafa
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
2-1
0%
HT/FT
1/1
31%
Double chance
1X
95%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw.
  • Recent form: Al-Ahli Jeddah DW, Al-Gharafa LL (oldest to newest).
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah score 2.0 a game this season; Al-Gharafa score 1.0.

Match preview

Al-Ahli Jeddah host Al-Gharafa in the AFC Champions League Elite (League Phase - 3) on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Alinma Stadium.

Al-Ahli Jeddah come into the game with a form of WWW (newest first; 3 wins in their last 3), while Al-Gharafa have DDL (newest first; 0 wins in their last 3).

This season Al-Ahli Jeddah score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Al-Gharafa score 1.0 and concede 2.0.

In their last 4 meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 2, Al-Gharafa won 0 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 95% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa?

Our model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah 50%, the draw 50% and Al-Gharafa 0%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (95% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 58% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 95% confidence.

When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa?

Kick-off is Monday, 26 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at Alinma Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Gharafa
Goals scored
2.01.0
Goals conceded
1.02.0
Clean sheets
0%0%

Model comparison

Percent
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Gharafa
Form
100%0%
Attack
67%33%
Defence
67%33%
Poisson model
62%38%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
71%29%
Overall
69%31%
Form, last 5 games
67%0%
Goals scored, last 5
4.02.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.04.0
Goal forecast: Al-Ahli Jeddah Under 2.5, Al-Gharafa Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw