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1. Division · Regular Season - 7
AEL
0 - 0LIVE 1'
Aris
Alphamega Stadium · Referee: Ioannis Christodoulou

AEL vs Aris Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.83
60%
Confidence · Fair
AELDrawAris
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
2/2
29%
Double chance
1X
60%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : AEL or draw.
  • Recent form: AEL LWWWW, Aris LWDWD (oldest to newest).
  • AEL score 1.7 a game this season; Aris score 1.2.

Match preview

AEL host Aris in the 1. Division (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Alphamega Stadium.

This season AEL score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Aris score 1.2 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, AEL won 2, Aris won 3 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 60% confidence, priced at 1.83.

Quick answers

Who will win AEL vs Aris?

Our model gives AEL 29%, the draw 31% and Aris 40%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (60% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is AEL 1 - 1 Aris. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 60% confidence at odds of 1.83.

When is AEL vs Aris?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Alphamega Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
AELAris
Goals scored
1.71.2
Goals conceded
1.31.3
Clean sheets
50%33%

Model comparison

Percent
AELAris
Form
60%40%
Attack
62%38%
Defence
43%57%
Poisson model
50%50%
Head to head
40%60%
Goals
20%80%
Overall
46%54%
Form, last 5 games
80%53%
Goals scored, last 5
8.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.06.0
Goal forecast: AEL Under 2.5, Aris Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw