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League Two · Regular Season - 11
Accrington ST
3 - 1Full time
Gillingham
The Crown Ground

Accrington ST vs Gillingham Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.62
75%
Confidence · Good
Accrington STDrawGillingham
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
54%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
1/1
21%
Double chance
X2
75%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Gillingham.
  • Recent form: Accrington ST LDDWD, Gillingham WWLDW (oldest to newest).
  • Accrington ST score 1.3 a game this season; Gillingham score 1.5.

Match preview

Accrington ST host Gillingham in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at The Crown Ground.

This season Accrington ST score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Gillingham score 1.4 and concede 1.2.

In their last 5 meetings, Accrington ST won 1, Gillingham won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 75% confidence, priced at 1.62.

Quick answers

Who will win Accrington ST vs Gillingham?

Our model gives Accrington ST 25%, the draw 37% and Gillingham 38%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (75% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Accrington ST 1 - 1 Gillingham. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 75% confidence at odds of 1.62.

When is Accrington ST vs Gillingham?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at The Crown Ground. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Devon matthews6'
  2. Stefan Mols11'
  3. Donald Love19'
  4. 21'Harry Waldock
  5. Josh WoodsAssist: Stefan Mols28'
  6. 31'Devon matthewsOwn goal
  7. 33'Armani Little
  8. 54'Logan Dobbs ⇄ Jack Daley
  9. 55'Harry Waldock ⇄ Ethan·Coleman
  10. 55'Armani Little ⇄ Tom Eaves
  11. Josh WoodsAssist: Stefan Mols66'
  12. 70'Andy Smith ⇄ Garath McCleary
  13. 70'Lamin Sillah ⇄ Bradley Dack
  14. Charlie Warren ⇄ Conor Grant76'
  15. 79'Ronan Chapman Hale

Match stats

Accrington STGillingham
Possession
56%44%
Expected goals (xG)
1.460.54
Shots
216
Shots on target
70
Corners
111
Fouls
815
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
00
Saves
04
Passes
345312