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Premiership · Regular Season - 9
Aberdeen
3 - 1Full time
ST Mirren
Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.20
84%
Confidence · High
AberdeenDrawST Mirren
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
30%
Double chance
1X
84%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Aberdeen or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Aberdeen LDWDL, ST Mirren WLLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Aberdeen score 0.9 a game this season; ST Mirren score 1.0.

Match preview

Aberdeen host ST Mirren in the Premiership (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Pittodrie Stadium.

This season Aberdeen score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals a game; ST Mirren score 1.0 and concede 1.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Aberdeen won 1, ST Mirren won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 84% confidence, priced at 1.20.

Quick answers

Who will win Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?

Our model gives Aberdeen 49%, the draw 35% and ST Mirren 16%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (84% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Aberdeen 1 - 1 ST Mirren. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 84% confidence at odds of 1.20.

When is Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Pittodrie Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Brad LyonsAssist: Connor Patrick Ronan2'
  2. 31'Ryan Carr
  3. 42'Eseosa SuleAssist: Killian Phillips
  4. Connor Patrick Ronan ⇄ Stuart Armstrong45'
  5. Brad Lyons ⇄ Tony Yogane45'
  6. 56'Paul Nsio
  7. Tony YoganePenalty confirmed58'
  8. Kevin Nisbet58'
  9. Kevin Nisbet58'
  10. 59'Luke Thomas ⇄ Samuel Antonio Ramos Linares
  11. 67'Paul Nsio ⇄ Fraser Taylor
  12. Toyosi Olusanya ⇄ Ayoub Mouloua71'
  13. Ayoub MoulouaAssist: Afeez Aremu Olalekan72'
  14. 74'Eseosa Sule ⇄ Jake Young
  15. Lewis Smith ⇄ Emmanuel Gyamfi76'
  16. Stuart Armstrong77'
  17. Kevin Nisbet ⇄ Findlay Marshall90+3'

Match stats

AberdeenST Mirren
Possession
34%66%
Expected goals (xG)
2.331.02
Shots
1713
Shots on target
77
Corners
26
Fouls
1816
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
00
Saves
64
Passes
276547